"Methodology: How Verdicts Are Made"

Every verdict on this site is the output of a two-stage pipeline, run automatically and published without cherry-picking. This page describes it completely, including the parts that don't work yet.

Stage 1 — momentum discovery

A screener scans the full market (US and Indonesian equities) during exchange sessions for momentum breakouts: price breaking a prior level with elevated relative volume, ranked by freshness (how close price still is to the broken level) and volume conviction. This stage knows nothing about business quality — it only answers "what is moving right now?"

Stage 2 — the fundamentals quality gate

Each candidate is then checked against recent quarterly fundamentals: revenue growth and its trend, gross margin level and trend, and earnings surprises. This is a quality confirmation of a momentum candidate — in the spirit of CANSLIM-style screens — not value investing: no intrinsic-value estimate, no margin of safety, and no moat judgment happens here.

Roster vs. screener picks

Each day's verdicts page has two sources, shown as two separate sections.

Roster

A curated list of names checked every session regardless of whether the screener flagged them that day — the tickers the author actually follows. A quiet roster (most days, for most names) is not a bug or a missing feature; it is the expected, honestly reported outcome of checking a fixed watchlist daily rather than only publishing when something moved.

Picks

Up to five ephemeral momentum candidates the screener surfaces that day from the full market scan (Stage 1) — names outside the roster that broke out with volume behind them. This list resets daily: a ticker appearing here today carries no memory of, or claim about, tomorrow.

The verdict vocabulary

BUY

A BUY verdict means the candidate passed the quality gate. It is a flag that says "this breakout has fundamentals behind it — worth a closer look." It is not a recommendation, and it says nothing about how much anyone should invest.

WATCH

A WATCH verdict means the momentum signal fired but the fundamentals data was insufficient — a bank with no gross-margin concept, a company without analyst estimates, a semi-annual reporter mid-cycle. We report the gap instead of papering over it.

QUIET

A QUIET verdict means a roster name had no breakout signal today. Its most recent quality-gate score (if any) still carries over from a prior trigger; there is simply nothing new to report. This is the roster's default, expected state, not a degraded one.

Value score

The quality gate scores up to six checks (revenue acceleration, growth level, margin level, margin trend over two quarters, earnings beat, and margin health). A 6/6 means all six passed for the most recent quarter with complete data.

What the LLM does — and does not do

Large language models assist with drafting articles, assembling research, and running the screening automation. They do not provide licensed financial review, and no human licensed advisor reviews this content either. That trade-off is disclosed on every page rather than hidden.

Known limits

• Quarterly fundamentals come from public APIs that cap history at about five quarters, so

year-over-year comparisons exist only for the most recent quarter until history accumulates.

• Verdicts are point-in-time: they reflect the data as of the stated date and are not revised.
• The screener is an attention funnel, never the buy signal. Deeper research — competitive

position, valuation, management — happens after a flag, not inside it.

Frequently asked questions

What does a BUY verdict mean?

It means an automated momentum candidate passed a six-check fundamentals quality gate. It is a research flag, not investment advice or a recommendation to purchase.

Why is position sizing never published?

Because a public page saying how much to invest reads as personalised financial advice regardless of any footer. Sizing depends on personal circumstances this site cannot know, so it is deliberately never published.

How is the value score computed?

Up to six fundamental checks on the latest complete quarter: revenue acceleration, revenue growth level, earnings beat, margin level, margin health, and a two-quarter margin trend. The score is the count of checks passed.

Is this financial advice?

No. Everything here is informational and educational. The author is not a licensed advisor in any jurisdiction, and nothing on this site is an offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security.